Wednesday, December 24, 2014

THERMAX.....

MIND BOGGLING YET…

I WAS AMAZED TO SEE THE PRICE ROCKETED TO CREATE ENOUGH TURBULENCE IN ME.

I BOUGHT 1000 SHARES OF THERMAX FOR Rs 38.65, 15 YEARS BACK,

TODAY, THE PRICE OF THERMAX IS Rs 1050/- OF Rs 2/- FACE VALUE (EQUAL TO Rs 5150/-). IN OTHER WORDS, ONE LAKH INVESTED HAS BECOME MORE THAN 66 LAKHS.

EVEN RECENTLY, 2-3 YEARS BACK, I FOUND MARKSAN AT Rs 2.30 NOW IT IS QUOTING Rs 64/-.

ALSO FOUND MORARJEE TEXTILES AT Rs 7.0 NOW TOUCHED A HIGH OF Rs 61, INDOCOUNT INDUSTRIES AT Rs 7.0 NOW TOUCHED A HIGH OF Rs 390/-.

BUT THE ABOVE THREE WERE JUST MEMORIES BUT NO PARTICIPATION……


MERRY CHRISTMAS TO YOU AND ALL INVESTORS & TRADERS…

Saturday, December 20, 2014

Vadra-DLF deal - MISSING PAGES ~~~


Pages of file pertaining to Vadra-DLF deal missing: Khemka

An internal inquiry has been instituted in the matter and efforts are on to reconstruct the file
Press Trust of India  |  Chandigarh  
 Last Updated at 00:39 IST

Indian Administrative Service (IAS) officer has sought registration of a First Information Report (FIR) after a Right To Information (RTI ) query by him found two pages of a file on the DLF-deal missing from government records. Admitting that the pages were missing, Chief Secretary P K Gupta said an internal inquiry had been instituted in the matter and efforts were on to reconstruct the file.

Khemka, who had over two years back cancelled mutation of the land deal between Robert Vadra’s company M/s Skylight Hospitality and DLF, said official notings pertaining to setting up a three-member committee by the previous Bhupinder Singh Hooda government, which gave a clean chit to Vadra’s firm, were “missing” from the main file. Demanding that a case be registered in the matter, Khemka said, “It is a serious matter and it should be probed... how can the notings suddenly be untraceable?”

“The file noting is a very important piece of record which would establish that the three members were specifically appointed to an illegally constituted committee by the then political executive, where the only remedy to an aggrieved party was to file a writ petition in the high court, with the pre-determined objective to accord a clean chit to black-marketing of colony licence by M/s Skylight Hospitality, a company belonging to Robert Vadra, and to discredit my action of cancelling the land mutation from M/s Skylight Hospitality to M/s DLF,” Khemka charged in a letter on Thursday to the Haryana chief secretary.

The two pages with notings on the previous Congress government’s decision to constitute an official probe committee that later gave a clean chit to Vadra and of any wrongdoing in Gurgaon land deal are untraceable, the present state government said responding to Khemka’s RTI plea.

State Public Information Officer D R Wadhwa, in an affidavit before State Information Commission a week back, mentioned that despite efforts to trace page no 1 and 2 of the noting of the file, these could not be traced and, therefore, these pages could not be provided to Khemka.

The 48-year-old IAS officer, whose action to cancel the mutation in October 2012 had raised a political storm, had sought the documents to ascertain how the official committee, which later on gave a clean chit to Vadra, was constituted.

The chief secretary on his part said it was a fact that a page of the file was missing.

“We are trying to reconstruct the file because I think it was six-seven months back when somebody asked for information under RTI, somebody other than Khemka. He had asked for information and that information was given to him... We are approaching the Information Commissioner's office to see if a copy of that is available with that office," he said.

Khemka wrote to the chief secretary that under RTI the former has been informed that noting related to constitution of the committee constituted on October 19, 2012, barely a week after the mutation was cancelled “by the then political executive to give clean chit to Skylight Hospitality and to discredit my action of cancelling the mutation is detached from main file and is denied to me under RTI Act”.

“This is serious, now there can be no scrutiny of the matter as to how Krishna Mohan, K K Jalan and Rajan Gupta became members, what were the terms of reference and what occasioned the constitution of the committee when the parties were not aggrieved against my orders and the only remedy against the order was to approach the high court,” he wrote.

The previous Hooda government had constituted the committee after Khemka cancelled the mutation and IAS officers Krishna Mohan, K K Jalan and Rajan Gupta were part of the committee.

Of the three officers in the probe committee, Krishna Mohan has retired.

http://www.business-standard.com/article/pti-stories/pages-of-file-pertaining-to-vadra-dlf-deal-missing-khemka-114121900386_1.html

Thursday, December 4, 2014

ECB MOVE MAY DAMPEN BULL EUPHORIA ...????

05-12-2014 FRIDAY:

GLOBAL MOVES: The ECB move dampened the European markets, DAX rose from a low of 8600 to 10000, uninterruptedly, now took a knock of 120+ points and other European markets are also in RED. The cascading effect can be seen in other markets.

CURRENT TREND: The Indian markets are in serious Bull Grip and BULL FEVER is at its HIGH. The negative news can trigger some down-ward push can get support at 8350 level

FUTURE TREND: The Sell on Rise the best policy that can be adopted.


INDIAN STOCK MOVES: The bank Nifty is in better shape can see some unwinding as the additions are very limited in these 2-3 days of upmove.

INDIA’s CURRENT TREND: The BUY on Declines can be avoided


INDIA’s FUTURE TREND: Sell on Rise is appropriate polocy

Sector View: The Mid-Cap out performance will continue, the PSU banks may take some halt.

Stocks to Observe: Yesbank, Axis, SBI and PSU Banks, Auto sector for correction, ONGC and RIL, NMDC and SSLT for bounce

FUTURES & OPTIONS:

SHORT BUILDING: Dr,Reddy,; Bharati shorts slightly covered but still not worth buying.

LONG UNWINDING: Nifty, Bank Nifty may start tomorrow, HUL &ITC rising and unwinding be careful!

POSITION BUILDING: Bank of India, RelCapital, Tata Steel and SSLT

NEWS IMPACT: ECB decision not to charge the monitory policy may push indices down to 8300 level and Bank Nifty Unwinding may pull down by 800-1000 points.

Check & Buy on Declines: Bank of INDIA, Andhra Bank, Central Bank

Check & Sell on rise: HUL,

FOCUS TO BUY: ONGC, NMDC


FOCUS TO SELL: BANKs

Tuesday, November 4, 2014

CSR- A NEW DEVELOPMENT SUPPORT..!!!

Corporates to pump in Rs 14,000 cr towards CSR in 2014-15: FM Arun Jaitley

Friday, September 19, 2014

SHALE GAS SUCCESS...ONGC PLANS...!!!

US shale success prompts ONGC action on unconventional energyCompany had earlier established presence of shale gas in Damodar basin in West BengalJyoti Mukul  |  New Delhi   Last Updated at 15:15 IST
Oil & Corporation today said it has prioritised exploration and exploitation of sources. It said the success of US in has set off a worldwide push for tapping the unconventional sources.
"In FY 2013-14, we drilled the first shale well at Jambusar, Cambay Basin, Gujarat, and total seven wells so far in the same basin. In the process, we have established the presence of shale gas in the Cambay basin," chairman DK Saraf said in his address to shareholders at the company's annual general meeting today.
The company had earlier established the presence of shale gas in the Damodar basin in West Bengal even before the announcement of shale gas policy by the Government of India.
To position itself suitably in green energy initiatives, it is close to commissioning its second wind power farm of 102 MW in Rajasthan, while the first such unit of 51MW in Gujarat is already generating power since 2009.
ONGC Energy Centre, a trust set up by the company to pursue novel energy options, is pursuing high-end research and development in the area of alternative energy sources like geothermal, hydrogen, uranium etc.

http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/us-shale-success-prompts-ongc-action-on-unconventional-energy-114091900543_1.html......
------------------
TECHNICALLY THE STOCK IS POISED TO SURPRISE THE BEARS BY TOUCHING 620-660 RANGE AND VERY LIKE RELIANCE WILL CROSS 1480-1530 RANGE, THE OTHER BEST OUT PERFORMING ONE LIKE HDFC & HDFC BANK MAY KEEP LOW PROFILE  FOR SOME TIME....

Saturday, August 30, 2014

Skyscanner looks to tap Big Data as next big money-spinner

Thursday, August 7, 2014

MAINTAIN WINING FORMULA..!!!

I MISSED MY NIGHT SLEEP (IN 1991-95, I USED TO STUDY THE HARD COPIES OF CAPITAL MARKETS AND DALAL STREET…UPTO 3 AM,ONE DAY UPTO 5 AM…., NOW  SIMILAR SLEEPLESS STUDY…, I NEVER STUDIED MY CLASS BOOKS LIKE THIS…) DUE TO A SERIOUS SEACH FOR TINY STOCKS THAT CAN FETCH 500-1000% RISE IN FUTURE. THE SEARCH AND RESEARCH IS ON………… THE STORY OF MULTIBAGGERS IS A EVER RISING NOVEL STORY IN STOCK MARKETS…ONLY THING WE NEED TO DO IS JUST TRUST WHAT YOU THOUGHT IS RIGHT AND BELIEVE IN WHAT YOU IDENTIFIED/STUDIED……..…….

A SATISFACTION BUILT DISAPPOINTMENT OF MISSING INDOCOUNT INDUSTRIES WHICH I IDENTIFIED AT 7-9 NOW AT 144 A 18 MONTH HOLDING PERIOD, A 1500-2000% RETURN IS A PHENOMENAL CASE TO “BLOW ONE’S OWN TRUMPET”.
AT A SIMILAR TIME FRAME IDENTIFIED MORARJEE TEXTILE AT SAME 7-8 RUPEES NOW AT 44. I IDENTIFIED PHARMA AT 3 NOW AT 35 A 10 TIMES RISE..NOT ENJOYED…

SIMILARLY FINDING AND  I ENJOYED 700% RISE IN KM SUGAR BOUGHT AT 1 AND 1.35, NO OTHE SUGAR STOCK GAVE SUCH PHENOMENAL RETURN. I DOUBLED MONEY IN RANA SUGARS.

I BOUGHT BIRLA ERICSSON AT 10-12, NOW AT 65 LEVELS, SUGGESTED ALL TELECOM OPTIC FIBRE CABLE COMPANIES, WHICH GAVE 300 TO 500% RISE, WITH SOME CLOSE FRIENDS, I EVEN FOUGHT FOR THEIR INVESTMENTS IN THESE STOCKS.

AS A MATTER OF FACT, THIS RALLY HAVE GIVEN LIFE TO MANY TINY STOCKS, DORMANT FOR YEARS. AT THE SAME TIME THERE ARE MANY STOCKS THAT ARE AT THE SAME PRICE OR EVEN LOWER THAN TWO YEARS AGO.
SO, JUST TURN AROUND STORY, LIKE ARVIND AT 44 FOUR YEARS AGO NOW AT 240, PARTICIPATED BUT NO GREAT WAITING….
……….
THE LESSON IS SO SIMPLE THAT FIND OUT…KEEP ON INVESTING……SIT TIGHT WITH OUT DISTURBING THE HOLDING AT LEAST FOR 5-10 TIMES RISE.
………
FOR DAY TRADING..ALWAYS LIVE IN THE CURRENT TREND.... 


Friday, July 25, 2014

Jaypee's QIP , FOR FUNDS, WAS THE DEAL MADE....?????????

After Jaypee's QIP, Abu Dhabi firm pulls out of deal
BS Reporter  |  New Delhi  
 Last Updated at 00:58 IST
In a setback to  Group's debt-reduction plan,  National Energy Company, or , has pulled out of an agreement to acquire two hydropower plants of its subsidiary Jaiprakash Power Ventures valued at around Rs 9,689 crore.
Earlier this month, , the flagship company of Jaypee Group, had raised Rs 1,500 crore through qualified institutional placement () of shares. The issue was oversubscribed and the funds raised through it will be used to repay or prepay certain loans, besides making investments in subsidiaries and joint ventures of the company, primarily in the cement and fertilisers space.
In an announcement to BSE on Thursday, Jaiprakash Power Ventures said the company received a notice from TAQA India Power Ventures that the company was withdrawing from the acquisition agreement signed in March due to a change in its group's business strategy and priorities. "The withdrawal makes TAQA liable to payment of break fee in terms of the said acquisition agreement," the company said its stock exchange filing.
SWITCHING OFF
  • Rs 9,689 cr
    The amount Jaypee's deal with TAQA was expected to fetch
  • Rs 1,500 cr
    The amount raised this month by Jaiprakash Associates, flagship company of Jaypee Group, through QIP of shares
  • Rs 28,164 cr
    Jaiprakash Associates' standalone debt as on March 31, 2014
  • Plants in the deal
    Karcham Wangtoo (capacity of 1,000 Mw) and Baspa-II (capacity of 300 Mw)

TAQA had in March said that a consortium led by it had agreed to buy the two hydropower plants - Karcham and Baspa in Himachal Pradesh - from Jaiprakash Power Ventures.
Under the agreement, TAQA was to have a 51 per cent stake, while Canada's PSP Investments 39 per cent and IDFC Alternatives 10 per cent.
The shares of Jaiprakash Power Ventures on Thursday fell seven per cent on BSE to close at Rs 19.20 apiece.
Though the group has been selling assets to reduce high debt, the standalone debt of Jaiprakash Associates still stood at Rs 28,164 crore as on March 31. Its interest cost for 2013-14 almost doubled to Rs 6,094 crore from Rs 3,134 crore a year earlier.
Last month, the group informed investors it had broken loan agreements. "The principal amount due under which our company is not in compliance with all covenants and ratios is Rs 10,079 crore. This is 35.77 per cent of our total principal standalone debt amount of Rs 28,164 crore as on March 31," the company said in its filing with the stock exchanges. However, it added it was regular in repayment across its obligations.
The group raised Rs 15,869 crore via sale of some power and cement assets and land parcels. This will help reduce its debt by about Rs 8,030 crore.

http://www.business-standard.com/article/company/after-jaypee-s-qip-abu-dhabi-firm-pulls-out-of-deal-114072500163_1.html

Sunday, July 20, 2014

THE NIFTY FUTURE OUT LOOK....

PHENOMENAL RISE&HIGHs but A Denial for NOW….
The Indian markets have performed stupendously, like a race against all ODDs and against all emerging markets. We are the best performing Indices YTD or for the quarter. The Rise is so phenomenal that no-body expected but few could CASH the opportunity. Now many new entrants are making inquiries and many more are looking as a decent opportunity to make HUGE money to meet their DREAMS.
The fact is that, since January-14, Nifty rose by 20%, Mid-Caps by 30% and Small caps by 55%, some Individual stocks rose by 400-700% from their LOWs. The hype generated now is due to change in the Government, a market friendly team at the top. But the fact is that No-body could SELL the National property via LIBERALIZATION for no reason, nor for a simple cause. The National growth based on immediate requirements and will be judged by prioritising/striking a right balance between “NECESSITY & COMMERCIALIZATION”. The Future is GOOD as huge investments will take place and the results will come in due course of time.
As far as the Stock Markets rise is concerned, a dead cheap stocks are at a historic low was one of the major reasons for FIIs relentless investments. The Global markets are also encouraging and FREE Supply/HIGH Liquidity is driving the markets for NOW. Very few are working on the REAL worth for the paper but relying on the PROJECTIONS. The Nifty is POISED for touching 9000+ as experts are working on the next 3-year EARNINGS and P/E that could safely take us above the above said number. I am not pessimistic but play a realistic role for valuing the Available Opportunity. The main reason for Nifty may seek SOUTHWARD JOURNEY because of looming DROUGHT, Poor Investments made by the CORPORATES in the Preceding/Previous 2-3 years, so NO earnings Surprise by the top companies.
So, the scenario is GLOOM in the Short-term, however the POLICY push can give some bounce but for the next ONE year will be very challenging. The Nifty stocks are moving up but the UN-Winding is a concern. The rise from here may not be that much sharp or serious, from here 2-Ups and 4-5 Downs. Because the FUTURE is promising, on any DEEP cut/ steep fall BULLs take charge to make a comeback to take away the Retail Investors most of the STOP-LOSSES.
THE BLOOM and GLOOM story…..THE MOMENTUM IS HIGH….
THE NIFTY MAY TOUCH 8785-8850 RANGE; BUT VERY LIKELY, IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 7000, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 6600-6400 RANGE
THE BANK-NIFTY MAY TOUCH 20100-22000 RANGE; IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 12500-800, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 10100-10300 RANGE
THE RELIANCE MAY TOUCH 1450-1550 RANGE;IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 801-811, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 759-736 RANGE
THE ONGC MAY TOUCH 620-650 RANGE; IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 311-321, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 270 RANGE
THE SBI MAY TOUCH 3850-3950 RANGE, IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 1920-1950, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 1450-1430 RANGE
THE ICICI MAY TOUCH 2130-2080 RANGE; IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 1180-1220, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 970-950 RANGE
THE RELCAPITAL MAY TOUCH 950-1050 RANGE;IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 440-415, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 330 RANGE
THE RELINFRA MAY TOUCH 1080-1150 RANGE; IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 520-540, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 440 RANGE
WE CAN EXTEND AND READ MORE NUMBERS… BUT THE DENIAL IS RIDING HIGH EVEN IN MY MIND…
PLS DON’T BUY NOW UNTIL NIFTY TOUCHES 7250-80 RANGE, BUT THE ACTUAL BUYING IN QUALITY STOCKS SHALL EMERGE FROM 7000 ONLY. THOSE WHO ARE COMPULSIVE, SHALL TAKE A STOPLOSS ROUTE RATHER THAN HOLDING FOR LONGER…THW WAIT MAY BE 3 YEARS…!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Thursday, May 8, 2014

INFOSYS.....UPSET..UBS....

What has upset UBS about Infosys that others have failed to see?UBS' report differs from others as it takes a business call on Infosys rather than one based on quarterly numbers and guidanceShishir Asthana  |  Mumbai  
 Last Updated at 09:26 IST
Nearly a month after  announced its march quarter results, one of the biggest foreign broking houses in the country,  has downgraded the stock. While the downgrade to Sell is not uncommon, the fact that the target price has been slashed by nearly 30 per cent is rare. UBS earlier had a price target of Rs 4,050 which has now been slashed to Rs 2,750. Infosys presently trades around the Rs 3,070 range .
What is important to note is that out of the 63 analysts tracking Infosys (as per Bloomberg data) only three have a Sell rating on the company. UBS is now the fourth. Around 75 per cent of the analysts have a Buy recommendation while remaining have a Hold recommendation on the company. UBS is the biggest broking house that is bearish on the stock and one that has the lowest price target.
So what is it that UBS (Indian broking firm Ambit already has Sell rating on the stock) has seen that other broking outfits have not.
UBS has broken down the business of software companies into different verticals and identified areas where growth is expected. The UBS report written by Diviya Nagarajan says that the next wave of growth for large Indian IT vendors will be led by infrastructure services and business process outsourcing ().
Infosys has less than 15 per cent of its revenues coming from these segments as compared to 25-35 per cent for  and HCL Tech. Infosys has just started focussing on these segments, but UBS believes that the slow growing application business of Infosys which contributes 85 per cent of the revenue will remain a drag. The company has already indicated through its commentaries that it has trouble jumpstarting growth in its base segment.
The other issue is of . Apart from Ambit and now UBS most of the other broking firms have highlighted the attrition problem as a footnote. Ambit (Read here) was the first to say that Infosys was living in denial when they clarified that the loss of senior management officials and overall attrition is not hurting the company. UBS has gone a step further and cited the case study of  and how constant management churn since 2005 has played a major role in decline of Wipro's market share.
To make matters worse for Infosys, TCS has played a smart game by hiking wages by 10 per cent for offshore employees and 2-4 per cent for onsite ones as compared to 6-7 per cent and 1-2 per cent respectively for Infosys. Attrition rate at Infosys is at its all time high with the company losing nearly one-fourth of its FY13 employee base in FY14, says UBS. The wage differential between the two companies and softer revenue outlook by Infosys is expected to further spike attrition in the company.
While most of the other analysts are saying that Infosys will beat its guidance, UBS feels that high attrition level will impact revenue acceleration and limit the company's ability to beat its revenue guidance of 7-9 per cent (which is much lower than the nearly 14 per cent growth projected by Nasscom, the face of the industry) despite improving demand and a currency advantage.
Concerns on Infosys' operations have been raised by other analysts too, but none of them had summed it up and been brave enough to go against the consensus opinion. JP Morgan which has a Overweight rating and a price target of Rs 4,000 on Infosys in its April 23, 2014 report on India IT Services highlighted the leadership role of TCS over its peers, especially Infosys. The report observed that TCS was defining the agenda through its forward commentary in contrast to the commentary of others playing catch-up. While TCS has a longer term plan of entering hardly penetrated markets like Japan and strengthening its presence in digital and SMAC (Social media, Mobile, Analytics and Cloud Computing), Infosys and Wipro are still talking on the need to improve win rates in large deals, in other words, operational issues.
Jefferies in its coverage on Infosys with Buy rating and a lower price target of Rs 3,675 (from its earlier target of Rs 4,170) highlighted the concerns of the company. The report said that Infosys was at a stage where most of its financial metrics are at their worst. Growth has been volatile, margins have fallen by 450 basis points in 13 quarters. Yet the Buy recommendation was based on the reset of expectations for next year, an improvement in growth or margins. The report says that turnaround hopes are hinged on Chairman Murthy.
It is the hope of Murthy working his magic that is preventing most of the analysts to see beyond the quarterly numbers. Where UBS' report differs from others is its business call on Infosys rather than one based on quarterly numbers and guidance. Share price movement of Infosys shows that the market seems to have respected that.
http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/what-has-upset-ubs-about-infosys-that-others-have-failed-to-see-114050800303_1.html

Sunday, March 16, 2014

KARVY-PENALIZED-IRREGULARITIES..

SEBI penalises Karvy Stock Broking in IPO irregularities case

In a major order with regard to the IPO scam of 2003-2005, SEBI has barred Karvy Stock Broking Ltd (KSBL) from taking up any new assignment or launching new schemes for six months in respect of its role as a stock broker.
However, this order would not be given effect for a period of four weeks from the date of its receipt by KSBL, according to a direction of the Securities Appellate Tribunal (SAT).
In a case involving large-scale irregularities in 21 IPOs during 2003-2005, SEBI found that KSBL “failed to maintain high standards of integrity and further indulged in manipulation and malpractice and thereby violated the code of conduct” specified in its broker regulations.
The six-month prohibition order would also apply to the contract or launch of a new contract by KSBL, while it would also not be allowed to take new clients or customers during this period in respect of its stock brokerage business.
In his order dated March 14, SEBI’s whole-time Member Prashant Saran said, “I note that while the enquiry officer has exonerated KSBL from the charge that it is not a fit and proper entity, the enquiry officer has recommended that the certificate of registration of the noticee as a stock broker be suspended for a period of three months.
“As stated above, in a case where there has been widespread market abuse, the role of one entity should not be seen in isolation and the collective roles and activities of all the entities concerned should be seen.
“I also note the submission that the noticee was restrained from indulging in proprietary trading for a period of 14 months. On considering the totality of the facts and circumstances, the interest of the securities market, the market participants and my observations/findings and the restrictions on proprietary trading already suffered by the noticee, I am of the view that the following order would meet the ends of justice,” he added.
During the hearing, KSBL submitted that the alleged irregularities occurred in its Ahmedabad office and there were no findings in respect of other branches and that all their other branches had been conducting their business in compliance with the rules, regulations laid out and therefore any restraint on the entire operations would not be proper.
“In this regard, it needs to be noted that the certificate of registration granted to a stock broker is for his stock broking business and therefore any violation or misdemeanour on its part would attract penalty, if required, against its business as a whole.
“Given the large-scale abuse of the market and the role of the entities of the Karvy Group including the noticee, as discussed above, I do not find it appropriate to only restrain the stock broking business of the noticee in a particular branch,” Saran said in his order.
(This article was published on March 16, 2014)
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/sebi-penalises-karvy-stock-broking-in-ipo-irregularities-case/article5791643.ece

Friday, February 7, 2014

ABOUT INDIA SPECTRUM AUCTION...

What is Spectrum auction all about? A primer on the ongoing spectrum auction, its process and how it would impact the companies Shishir Asthana | Mumbai February 7, 2014 Last Updated at 10:42 IST 

One more round of spectrum auction has brought the telecom sector back in news. Telecom sector stocks have been volatile as competitive bids have raised the spectrum auction prices. The sector creates a sense of awe on account of technical jargons surrounding it. The entire auction process throws up an image of a Bollywood movie where business men and women are trying to outbid each other. Nothing could be further from the truth. 

Here is an attempt to demystify the sector, understand what is spectrum, why and how are they being auctioned and how would it impact the companies who are the winners and what does it mean to the losers. First let’s understand what is being sold -- Spectrum. We were first introduced to spectrum in school when we saw that seven colours were produced when a white light hits a glass prism. In simple terms, spectrum can be considered as a range of all lights of various wavelengths. But light is part of a larger spectrum called the electromagnetic (EM) spectrum. EM spectrum has in it a range of similar EM radiations like visible light, infrared light, ultraviolet light, X-rays and the one that is useful to us here is radio waves. As these are all radiations, they travel and spread as they go. Waves are defined by attributes of wavelength (length of the wave), amplitude (height of the wave) and frequency (number of cycles per seconds). Radio waves are those that have frequency of 3 kHz (3000 cycle per second) to 300 GHz (3 billion cycles per second). Audible frequency for human is between 20 Hz to 20,000 Hz. Consider waves moving around us at different speeds (frequencies) between 3 kHz and 300 GHz. Different frequencies are utilised for different purposes. The Radio FM stations air their channels around the 100 MHz frequencies. Out of these, government of India has selected two -- 900 MHz and 1800 MHz to be auctioned to telecom companies. Higher frequencies can carry more data per second. As in case of radio, any company winning the licence of using a frequency has a natural monopoly over the band. 

By auctioning spectrum, government is actually attempting spectrum management. Like land, mineral, oil, gas and water are exclusive property of a state, so is radio frequencies. Government manage these frequencies, as it is scarce, for various uses like telecom, radio, television and defence. Increasing applications and new technologies such as 2G, 3G and 4G has further created a need for more spectrum. Within each frequency, government splits it up into circles (cities or states) and divides it to various users.

The auction process The present auction is being conducted online and is termed as a Simultaneous Multiple Rounds Ascending (SMRA) e-auction. Government hopes to raise Rs 48,000 crore through this auction by giving away 403.2 MHz in the 1,800 MHz band and 46 MHz in the 900 MHz band. The spectrum available for licencing will be valid for 20 years. Bidders have a choice of paying the full amount upfront or defer it by paying 33 per cent of bid amount in 1,800 MHz and 25 per cent of bid amount in case of 900 MHz within 10 days of auction close. There is a moratorium of 2 years of payment of balance amount which shall be recovered in 10 equal annual instalments which will attract an interest of 10 per cent. Each applicant has to apply along with Earnest Money -- in the form of a bank guarantee, which changes as per circles as prescribed by the government. 

There are two stages in the auction – Clock stage and Frequency Identification Stage. The clock stage will establish the bidders and number of blocks to be awarded in each service area while the second stage will identify specific frequency blocks for the winning bidders. Auctions on both the spectrum bands are being conducted simultaneously. In the clock stage, bidding proceeds in rounds where bids can be placed for some or all service areas. Bidders will be informed about the Clock Round Price per block for each of the service areas in both the bands where spectrum is put to auction. In each round, the bidder’s choice will be a ‘Yes/No’ if he agrees to bid at the Clock Round Price. If the answer is Yes, he then has to select the number of blocks in the area. In 1,800 MHz blocks of 200 kHz are on sale while in 900 MHz, each block size is of 1MHz. In the first Clock round, the price per block will be the reserve price. In subsequent rounds, the Clock Round price will be determined by the excess demand in the previous Clock Round. The Clock Rounds will continue until demand can be satisfied within each and every service area in each of the bands. Price increments will not be more than 10 per cent of the previous Clock Round. What does it mean for the winners and losers? While the winners get the exclusive right to use the spectrum, those who have lost the bid in that area will not be able to operate in it. They will not be able to get subscribers in the area where they do not have a licence. However, if a consumer has a connection of the particular telecom operator and travels to an area where the operator is not present, he will be charged interconnect user charges. Why are the bids so competitive? For the serious players it makes sense to have a pan India presence, which is why we see aggressive biddings in the present auction rounds as Vodafone and Bharti’s licenses are expiring in some of the metros. What makes this auction all the more interesting is that a new player Reliance Jio, the telecom arm of Reliance Industries is applying for the licence and would like to get the maximum possible licences across the country. The number of spectrum he wins will impact his pan India roll out plan.

How do spectrum prices impact consumers? There are two ways a telecom company can recover their investment in getting the spectrum license. First is by increasing their consumer base and second is by increasing their tariffs. For an existing player, increasing customer base is difficult in the current scenario, thus the only option left is to increase tariffs. But that's easier said than done given the current competetive scenario. Companies are thus introducing new applications to supplement their revenue. 

http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/what-is-spectrum-auction-all-about-114020700227_1.html

Sunday, February 2, 2014

POWER TRANSMISSION...A BIG OPPORTUNITY..!!!!!!!!!!!

Gridlock could idle big chunk of 25,000 MW

Noor Mohammad | New Delhi, Bhopal | Updated: Feb 03 2014, 01:23 IST
A clutch of power plants coming up in Orissa and Chhattisgarh may have to grossly underutilise their capacities over the next three years, resulting in generation losses in excess of Rs 1 lakh crore for these private sector players, an unfortunate situation in a country starved of electricity.
The plants could be compelled to run at below full capacity because the likely delay in the setting up of the transmission network to wheel the power to open-access consumers in the northern and western regions of the country. The potential surplus power from these plants with a combined capacity of 25,000 MW, and involving investments over Rs 1.25 lakh crore, can’t be sold in the two coal-bearing home states due to the lack of demand. The bulk of the power from these plants was meant to be sold outside these states.
These plants are being developed by private players that include Jindal Steel, Sterlite Energy, KSK Energy and Visa Power. The developers have booked 24,000 MW transmission capacity with central transmission utility Power Grid Corporation of India under long-term open access for wheeling power to consumers in the northern and western regions.
Half the planned capacity has already been commissioned but the transmission bottleneck has meant the plants are running at a plant load factor (PLF) of 30-50%, much lower than the 85% normal capacity utilisation. The projected loss in generation, consequently, could be to the tune of 3,720 MW in 2013-14. That translates into a revenue loss of Rs 10,400 crore if the cost of electricity is taken at Rs 4 a unit.
This figure could reach Rs 52,400 crore in FY16 if transmission projects don’t take off. The 10 750-kV inter-regional transmission lines connecting Jharsuguda in Orissa with Aurangabad in Maharashtra via Bhopal were expected to be commissioned by end of March but are now likely to slip by one to two years primarily due to issues relating to diversion of forest land.All companies, except central sector PSUs, are required to provide alternative land for afforestation while acquiring forest land to set up projects.
Alarmed at the prospect of these generation projects becoming unviable due to inter-regional power transmission constraints, the Association of Power Producers ( APP) has written a letter to power secretary PK Sinha, asking for an expeditious resolution to problems hampering the transmission projects.Banks and financial institutions that funded the power plants could end up taking a hit if these projects are stranded. “These generation capacities are in the process of being put up in Orissa and Chhattisgarh by 26 generating companies. Though 50% of the capacity has become operational, despite the availability of coal, the plants are forced to operate at a sub-optimal PLFs primarily due to inter-state transmission bottlenecks. It would be a major loss for the consumers and disastrous for the developers and lenders if these projects remain underutilized due to these bottlenecks,”Ashok Khurana, director general, APP, said in the latter sent to the power secretary.
Khurana added: “Since identifying land for compensatory afforestation is proving to be a generic and major hindrance impacting most of these inter-state transmission lines being developed, it is requested that the projects may be treated at par with PSU projects for compensatory afforestation like ultra mega power power projects.”
http://www.financialexpress.com/news/gridlock-could-idle-big-chunk-of-25000-mw/1222641/0